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AHT: 22CSV

21 May 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.3%
Brest
16.5%
Draw
15.2%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

2.48

Brest

vs
1.09

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS60.3%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.8%
4-0
4.5%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
0-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).