Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.1%
Spezia
28.5%
Draw
30.5%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Spezia
vs
0.99
Verona
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).