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23 Feb 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.1%
Club Brugge
23.1%
Draw
14.8%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Club Brugge

vs
0.76

Standard

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).