Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.1%
Carlisle
17.3%
Draw
8.6%
Truro
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
Carlisle
vs
0.71
Truro
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
3-0
10.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
6.1%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
5-0
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).