Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Lyon
22.0%
Draw
17.5%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Lyon
vs
0.80
Amiens
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).