Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Pacos Ferreira
26.1%
Draw
35.0%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Pacos Ferreira
vs
1.19
Vizela
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).