Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.3%
Barcelona
11.5%
Draw
7.2%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
3.20
Barcelona
vs
0.92
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.577.9%
Over 3.559.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
4-0
7.1%
4-1
6.5%
1-0
5.1%
1-1
4.9%
5-0
4.5%
5-1
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).