Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Inter
23.4%
Draw
20.1%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Inter
vs
0.92
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).