Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.1%
Valladolid
17.8%
Draw
70.1%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Valladolid
vs
2.39
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
2-1
3.6%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).