Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Sp Gijon
26.9%
Draw
42.2%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Sp Gijon
vs
1.34
Elche
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.6%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).