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AHT: 11CSV

10 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.9%
Antwerp
29.5%
Draw
34.6%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Antwerp

vs
1.16

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).