Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Udinese
26.9%
Draw
27.5%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Udinese
vs
0.99
Spal
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).