Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.8%
Bury
17.2%
Draw
12.9%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Bury
vs
0.88
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
0-1
3.8%
0-0
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).