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HHT: 11

25 Oct 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.9%
Carrarese
24.4%
Draw
58.8%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Carrarese

vs
1.86

Venezia

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
0-2
10.9%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
7.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).