Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Mainz
24.0%
Draw
15.5%
Bochum
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Mainz
vs
0.82
Bochum
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).