Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.0%
Hertha
22.6%
Draw
59.5%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Hertha
vs
2.02
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-2
10.0%
0-2
9.6%
0-1
8.8%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).