Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Monza
27.7%
Draw
15.3%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Monza
vs
0.69
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).