Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.3%
Wrexham
18.6%
Draw
8.1%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Wrexham
vs
0.61
Barrow
Markets
BTTS41.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.6%
1-0
12.7%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
5-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).