Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
West Ham
31.1%
Draw
42.5%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
West Ham
vs
1.34
Everton
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).