Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Stevenage
22.8%
Draw
16.5%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Stevenage
vs
0.75
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).