Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Eibar
28.1%
Draw
19.2%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Eibar
vs
0.69
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
11.8%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).