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17 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.9%
Dinamo Moskva
24.9%
Draw
21.2%
CSKA Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Dinamo Moskva

vs
1.13

CSKA Moskva

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).