Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.5%
Reading
17.1%
Draw
18.5%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Reading
vs
1.22
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS63.6%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-1
4.6%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).