Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Fleetwood Town
22.7%
Draw
27.1%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.21
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).