Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.9%
Concarneau
21.0%
Draw
58.2%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Concarneau
vs
1.83
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.0%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
2-3
3.0%
2-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).