Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Tamworth
24.1%
Draw
19.3%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Tamworth
vs
1.02
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).