Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.0%
Darmstadt
19.6%
Draw
16.4%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Darmstadt
vs
1.20
Dresden
Markets
BTTS64.5%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
4-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-0
3.9%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).