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DHT: 00CSV

17 Mar 2019

Getafe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.4%
Valencia
34.2%
Draw
29.5%
Getafe

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Valencia

vs
0.80

Getafe

Markets

BTTS33.6%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.59.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.1%
1-0
16.2%
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.5%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).