Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.6%
Leeds
18.5%
Draw
8.9%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Leeds
vs
0.76
Leicester
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.8%
0-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).