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AHT: 11CSV

16 Aug 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.5%
Maidstone
25.6%
Draw
46.9%
Dorking

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Maidstone

vs
1.71

Dorking

Markets

BTTS59.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).