Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.1%
Man United
22.3%
Draw
12.6%
Wolves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Man United
vs
0.83
Wolves
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
4-0
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).