Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Toulouse
22.5%
Draw
34.3%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Toulouse
vs
1.45
Rennes
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
0-0
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).