Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.8%
Lens
17.0%
Draw
12.2%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Lens
vs
0.86
Nice
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-0
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).