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15 Sept 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.5%
Charleroi
21.4%
Draw
16.1%
Beerschot VA

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

Charleroi

vs
0.97

Beerschot VA

Markets

BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).