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HHT: 10CSV

17 Sept 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.6%
Fylde
24.0%
Draw
60.4%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Fylde

vs
1.85

Southend

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).