⚽ FootballData
QPR

Home

2 – 1
HHT: 10CSV

04 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
43.8%
QPR
29.7%
Draw
26.5%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

QPR

vs
0.99

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).