Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.3%
Mansfield
14.4%
Draw
9.3%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Mansfield
vs
0.77
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
3-0
10.0%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
6.8%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
3.5%
0-0
3.3%
5-0
3.3%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).