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HHT: 00CSV

28 Apr 2019

Milan

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.2%
Torino
21.7%
Draw
62.1%
Milan

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Torino

vs
1.85

Milan

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.0%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).