Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Bradford
26.4%
Draw
23.7%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Bradford
vs
0.80
Swindon
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).