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10 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.2%
Sampdoria
23.7%
Draw
57.2%
Udinese

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Sampdoria

vs
1.69

Udinese

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.4%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).