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20 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.8%
Sporting Khalsa
26.7%
Draw
30.5%
Gresley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Sporting Khalsa

vs
1.06

Gresley

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).