Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Como
21.2%
Draw
10.5%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Como
vs
0.53
Parma
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
2-0
15.7%
0-0
9.6%
3-0
9.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
4-1
2.2%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).