Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Auxerre
26.7%
Draw
10.4%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Auxerre
vs
0.37
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS22.5%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.551.2%
Over 2.525.2%
Over 3.59.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
24.6%
0-0
17.1%
2-0
16.4%
1-1
8.4%
3-0
7.5%
0-1
7.0%
2-1
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-0
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
0-2
1.2%
2-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).