Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Brescia
29.8%
Draw
45.9%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Brescia
vs
1.39
Parma
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).