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01 Feb 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.7%
Genk
20.7%
Draw
17.6%
K. Beerschot V.A.

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

Genk

vs
1.08

K. Beerschot V.A.

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
0-0
4.3%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).