Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.1%
Clermont
23.6%
Draw
54.3%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Clermont
vs
1.68
Lorient
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).