Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.0%
Evesham United
24.1%
Draw
52.9%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Evesham United
vs
1.61
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).