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23 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.9%
Edinburgh City
26.9%
Draw
50.1%
Peterhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Edinburgh City

vs
1.81

Peterhead

Markets

BTTS59.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.2%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
5.0%
1-0
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).