Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.0%
Spartak Moskva
9.4%
Draw
4.6%
Sochi
Expected Goals (xG)
3.64
Spartak Moskva
vs
0.88
Sochi
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.594.4%
Over 2.582.8%
Over 3.566.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.8%
4-0
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
4-1
7.0%
2-1
6.4%
5-0
5.8%
5-1
5.1%
1-1
3.9%
1-0
3.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).