⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 00CSV

27 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
43.9%
Walsall
27.5%
Draw
28.5%
Accrington

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Walsall

vs
0.95

Accrington

Markets

BTTS43.1%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).